Jessika Ponchet vs M. Uchijima · Match odds & ELO prediction
Saint Malo • Clay • May 2, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner M. Uchijima
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessika Ponchet
53% · 8–7 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,091 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,091 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.6 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
M. Uchijima
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,356 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,356 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessika Ponchet and M. Uchijima are set to meet at the Saint Malo on May 2, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ponchet enters with a 4–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Uchijima has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Uchijima leads 2–0 over Ponchet, including a win in their most recent meeting.