Keegan Smith vs Alex Bolt · Match odds & ELO prediction
Jiujiang (China) - Qualification • Hard • May 1, 2026 • 7:55 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alex Bolt
Key insights
Player performance profile
Keegan Smith
61% · 20–13 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Alex Bolt
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,259 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,259 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Keegan Smith and Alex Bolt are set to meet at the Jiujiang (China) - Qualification on May 1, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Smith enters with a 20–13 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bolt has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bolt leads 2–0 over Smith, including a win in their most recent meeting.