Sho Shimabukuro vs Keegan Smith · Match odds & ELO prediction
Jiujiang (China) - Qualification • Hard • Apr 30, 2026 • 8:20 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Keegan Smith
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sho Shimabukuro
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Keegan Smith
61% · 20–13 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Sho Shimabukuro and Keegan Smith are set to meet at the Jiujiang (China) - Qualification on April 30, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shimabukuro enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Smith has posted a 20–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Smith entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Smith leads 2–0 over Shimabukuro, including a win in their most recent meeting.