M. Uchijima vs Sofia Costoulas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Saint Malo • Clay • May 1, 2026 • 9:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner M. Uchijima
Key insights
Player performance profile
M. Uchijima
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,356 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,356 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sofia Costoulas
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,243 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,243 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
M. Uchijima and Sofia Costoulas are set to meet at the Saint Malo on May 1, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Uchijima enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Costoulas has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Costoulas, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Uchijima leads 1–0 over Costoulas, including a win in their most recent meeting.