Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Alejandro Tabilo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Aix en Provence • Clay • Apr 30, 2026 • 3:35 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alejandro Tabilo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Roberto Bautista-Agut
36% · 4–7 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,715 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,715 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Tabilo
55% · 6–5 on hard
72% · 18–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,287 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,287 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Roberto Bautista-Agut and Alejandro Tabilo are set to meet at the Aix en Provence on April 30, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bautista-Agut enters with a 2–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Tabilo has posted a 18–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tabilo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 1–0 over Bautista-Agut, including a win in their most recent meeting.