Cristian Garin vs Nuno Borges · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cagliari • Clay • Apr 30, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Nuno Borges
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,170 points across 38 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,170 points across 38 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 35% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nuno Borges
47% · 7–8 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,109 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,109 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cristian Garin and Nuno Borges are set to meet at the Cagliari on April 30, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Garin enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Borges has posted a 3–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Garin, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.