Laura Pigossi vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
La Bisbal D'Emporda • Clay • Apr 30, 2026 • 10:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Laura Pigossi
20% · 1–4 on hard
59% · 10–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,437 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,437 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.4 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 10% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Laura Pigossi and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the La Bisbal D'Emporda on April 30, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pigossi enters with a 10–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kasatkina has posted a 5–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 1–0 over Pigossi, including a win in their most recent meeting.