Federico Arnaboldi vs Matteo Arnaldi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cagliari • Clay • Apr 29, 2026 • 12:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Matteo Arnaldi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Federico Arnaboldi
46% · 6–7 on hard
59% · 10–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Arnaldi
25% · 1–3 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,434 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,434 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Federico Arnaboldi and Matteo Arnaldi are set to meet at the Cagliari on April 29, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Arnaboldi enters with a 10–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Arnaldi has posted a 6–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Arnaldi entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.