Varvara Lepchenko vs Laura Pigossi · Match odds & ELO prediction
La Bisbal D'Emporda • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 2:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Laura Pigossi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Laura Pigossi
20% · 1–4 on hard
59% · 10–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,437 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,437 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.4 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 10% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Lepchenko and Laura Pigossi are set to meet at the La Bisbal D'Emporda on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Lepchenko enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Pigossi has posted a 10–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pigossi entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.