Stefano Travaglia vs Jesper De Jong · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cagliari • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 10:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jesper De Jong
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefano Travaglia
58% · 7–5 on hard
62% · 32–20 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~877 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~877 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 3% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jesper De Jong
0% · 0–6 on hard
56% · 9–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,292 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,292 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.6 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefano Travaglia and Jesper De Jong are set to meet at the Cagliari on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Travaglia enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Jong has posted a 9–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Travaglia entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jong leads 1–0 over Travaglia, including a win in their most recent meeting.