Lorenzo Sonego vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cagliari • Clay • Apr 29, 2026 • 3:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Mattia Bellucci
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 2–2 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,932 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,932 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mattia Bellucci
55% · 12–10 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,018 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,018 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Cagliari on April 29, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sonego enters with a 1–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Bellucci has posted a 5–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bellucci leads 1–0 over Sonego, including a win in their most recent meeting.