Patrick Kypson vs Matteo Berrettini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cagliari • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 12:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Matteo Berrettini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Patrick Kypson
44% · 8–10 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,645 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,645 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.2 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 15% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Berrettini
60% · 3–2 on hard
50% · 7–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.5 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Patrick Kypson and Matteo Berrettini are set to meet at the Cagliari on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kypson enters with a 4–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Berrettini has posted a 7–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kypson entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Berrettini leads 1–0 over Kypson, including a win in their most recent meeting.