Polona Hercog vs Xinyu Gao · Match odds & ELO prediction
Huzhou • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 8:45 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Polona Hercog
Key insights
Player performance profile
Polona Hercog
67% · 2–1 on hard
65% · 15–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Xinyu Gao
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,531 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,531 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 68% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Polona Hercog and Xinyu Gao are set to meet at the Huzhou on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Hercog enters with a 15–8 record on clay courts in 2026, while Gao has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hercog entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hercog leads 1–0 over Gao, including a win in their most recent meeting.