Josef Schwaerzler Joel vs Jan Choinski · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mauthausen • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 9:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jan Choinski
Key insights
Player performance profile
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 50% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan Choinski
45% · 5–6 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Josef Schwaerzler Joel and Jan Choinski are set to meet at the Mauthausen on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Joel enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Choinski has posted a 4–8 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Choinski leads 2–1 over Joel, including a win in their most recent meeting.