Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 27, 2026 • 1:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Francisco Cerundolo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,796 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,796 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luciano Darderi
29% · 6–15 on hard
73% · 30–11 on clay
33% · 2–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,054 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,054 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Madrid on April 27, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Cerundolo enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Darderi has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Darderi entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Cerundolo leads 4–2 over Darderi, including a win in their most recent meeting.