Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 27, 2026 • 7:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jakub Mensik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,836 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,836 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 53% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karen Khachanov and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the Madrid on April 27, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Khachanov enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Mensik has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Khachanov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 2–1 over Mensik.