Manuel Cerundolo Juan vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2026 • 11:15 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Luciano Darderi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 2–2 on hard
57% · 12–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,626 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,626 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luciano Darderi
29% · 6–15 on hard
73% · 30–11 on clay
33% · 2–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,054 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,054 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Manuel Cerundolo Juan and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 12–9 record on clay courts in 2026, while Darderi has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Darderi entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Darderi leads 4–3 over Juan, including a win in their most recent meeting.