Vilius Gaubas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2026 • 1:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Vilius Gaubas
63% · 5–3 on hard
50% · 10–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,958 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,958 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.1 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Vilius Gaubas and Felix Auger-Aliassime are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gaubas enters with a 10–10 record on clay courts in 2026, while Auger-Aliassime has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Auger-Aliassime entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Auger-Aliassime leads 1–0 over Gaubas, including a win in their most recent meeting.