Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Blockx · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2026 • 12:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Blockx
Key insights
Player performance profile
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,614 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,614 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 51% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Blockx
68% · 15–7 on hard
77% · 10–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,713 points across 38 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,713 points across 38 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Brandon Nakashima and Alexander Blockx are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Nakashima enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Blockx has posted a 10–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakashima entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nakashima leads 2–1 over Blockx.