Marco Alvarez vs Mees Rottgering · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Xalapa • Hard • Apr 24, 2026 • 1:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mees Rottgering
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marco Alvarez
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
7 matches tracked
Mees Rottgering
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~204 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~204 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marco Alvarez and Mees Rottgering are set to meet at the M25 Xalapa on April 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Alvarez enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Rottgering has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rottgering entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rottgering leads 1–0 over Alvarez, including a win in their most recent meeting.