Sorana Cirstea vs Caterina Grant Tyra · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 12:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sorana Cirstea
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sorana Cirstea
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,950 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,950 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Caterina Grant Tyra
53% · 10–9 on hard
62% · 18–11 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~733 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~733 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 50% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sorana Cirstea and Caterina Grant Tyra are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Cirstea enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Tyra has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tyra entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Cirstea leads 1–0 over Tyra, including a win in their most recent meeting.