BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Caty McNally vs Victoria Mboko · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 5:20 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Caty McNally

Key insights

Player performance profile

Caty McNally

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,059 points across 36 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.243% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.455% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
+0.250% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%16% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Victoria Mboko

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,566 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.392% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.259% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.878% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
61%75% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Caty McNally and Victoria Mboko are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. McNally enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Mboko has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mboko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, McNally leads 2–1 over Mboko, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as McNally and Mboko have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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