Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machac · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 4:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Cameron Norrie
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,567 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,567 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tomas Machac
62% · 8–5 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,714 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,714 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cameron Norrie and Tomas Machac are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Norrie enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Machac has posted a 4–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Norrie entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Norrie leads 2–0 over Machac, including a win in their most recent meeting.