Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hubert Hurkacz
38% · 5–8 on hard
70% · 7–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,532 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,532 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hubert Hurkacz and Lorenzo Musetti are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Hurkacz enters with a 7–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Musetti has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.