Agustin Tirante Thiago vs Tommy Paul · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 7:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Agustin Tirante Thiago
Key insights
Player performance profile
Agustin Tirante Thiago
54% · 7–6 on hard
67% · 8–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 10% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Agustin Tirante Thiago and Tommy Paul are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Thiago enters with a 8–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Paul has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Paul, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.