Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 11:55 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jelena Ostapenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Simona Waltert
40% · 6–9 on hard
67% · 8–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,735 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,735 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.1 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
53% · 9–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Simona Waltert and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Waltert enters with a 8–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ostapenko has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ostapenko, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ostapenko leads 1–0 over Waltert, including a win in their most recent meeting.