Elvina Kalieva vs Katerina Siniakova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 5:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Katerina Siniakova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elvina Kalieva
75% · 15–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,928 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,928 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 62% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Katerina Siniakova
50% · 7–7 on hard
75% · 3–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,129 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,129 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elvina Kalieva and Katerina Siniakova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kalieva enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Siniakova has posted a 3–1 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Siniakova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Siniakova leads 1–0 over Kalieva, including a win in their most recent meeting.