Karolina Pliskova vs Sinja Kraus · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 3:25 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Karolina Pliskova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Pliskova
57% · 4–3 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.3 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sinja Kraus
62% · 13–8 on hard
69% · 9–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,590 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,590 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Pliskova and Sinja Kraus are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pliskova enters with a 6–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kraus has posted a 9–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kraus, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pliskova leads 2–0 over Kraus, including a win in their most recent meeting.