M. Uchijima vs Yuliia Starodubtseva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 11:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Yuliia Starodubtseva
Key insights
Player performance profile
M. Uchijima
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,356 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,356 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yuliia Starodubtseva
55% · 11–9 on hard
70% · 7–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,196 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,196 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
M. Uchijima and Yuliia Starodubtseva are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Uchijima enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Starodubtseva has posted a 7–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Starodubtseva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Starodubtseva leads 1–0 over Uchijima, including a win in their most recent meeting.