Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 10:55 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Daria Snigur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Snigur
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,911 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,911 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.1 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Snigur and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Snigur enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Kasatkina has posted a 5–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Snigur leads 1–0 over Kasatkina, including a win in their most recent meeting.