Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 4 (Portugal) - Qualification • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 12:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lucia Bronzetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucia Bronzetti
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,146 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,146 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucia Bronzetti and Varvara Lepchenko are set to meet at the Oeiras 4 (Portugal) - Qualification on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bronzetti enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Lepchenko has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bronzetti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bronzetti leads 2–0 over Lepchenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.