Leylah Fernandez vs Julia Grabher · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2026 • 4:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Leylah Fernandez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,487 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,487 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Julia Grabher
25% · 2–6 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.6 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.8 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Leylah Fernandez and Julia Grabher are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fernandez enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Grabher has posted a 6–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fernandez, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fernandez leads 3–0 over Grabher, including a win in their most recent meeting.