Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 2:50 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Moez Echargui
27% · 3–8 on hard
33% · 3–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,817 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,817 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +13.8 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
59% · 10–7 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 23% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Moez Echargui and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Echargui enters with a 3–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kjaer has posted a 6–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Echargui entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kjaer leads 1–0 over Echargui, including a win in their most recent meeting.