Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 2:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Nikoloz Basilashvili
Key insights
Player performance profile
Patrick Kypson
44% · 8–10 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,645 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,645 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.2 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 15% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33% · 5–10 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Patrick Kypson and Nikoloz Basilashvili are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kypson enters with a 4–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Basilashvili has posted a 7–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Basilashvili, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Basilashvili leads 2–0 over Kypson, including a win in their most recent meeting.