Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 11:30 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marco Trungelliti
40% · 2–3 on hard
71% · 15–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,842 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,842 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
67% · 12–6 on hard
76% · 13–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Trungelliti enters with a 15–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Aguilar has posted a 13–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Trungelliti, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Trungelliti leads 3–2 over Aguilar.