Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 1:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yuliia Starodubtseva
55% · 11–9 on hard
70% · 7–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,196 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,196 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,605 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,605 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yuliia Starodubtseva and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Starodubtseva enters with a 7–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Pavlyuchenkova has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Starodubtseva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pavlyuchenkova leads 1–0 over Starodubtseva, including a win in their most recent meeting.