Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 11:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Damir Dzumhur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Damir Dzumhur
22% · 2–7 on hard
43% · 6–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,473 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,473 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mattia Bellucci
55% · 12–10 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,316 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,316 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Damir Dzumhur and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Dzumhur enters with a 6–8 record on clay courts in 2026, while Bellucci has posted a 5–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Dzumhur leads 3–1 over Bellucci, including a win in their most recent meeting.