Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaeva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alina Charaeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nikola Bartunkova
67% · 12–6 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,555 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,555 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nikola Bartunkova and Alina Charaeva are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bartunkova enters with a 3–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Charaeva has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Charaeva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Charaeva leads 1–0 over Bartunkova, including a win in their most recent meeting.