Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Vilius Gaubas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rei Sakamoto
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Vilius Gaubas
63% · 5–3 on hard
50% · 10–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rei Sakamoto and Vilius Gaubas are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sakamoto enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Gaubas has posted a 10–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gaubas, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gaubas leads 1–0 over Sakamoto, including a win in their most recent meeting.