Cristian Garin vs Martin Damm · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Martin Damm
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,170 points across 38 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,170 points across 38 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 35% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Martin Damm
58% · 11–8 on hard
43% · 3–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,283 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,283 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.9 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cristian Garin and Martin Damm are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Garin enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Damm has posted a 3–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Garin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Damm leads 1–0 over Garin, including a win in their most recent meeting.