Dayana Yastremska vs Solana Sierra · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 1:55 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Solana Sierra
Key insights
Player performance profile
Dayana Yastremska
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,885 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,885 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Solana Sierra
39% · 7–11 on hard
60% · 3–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,081 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,081 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Dayana Yastremska and Solana Sierra are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Yastremska enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Sierra has posted a 3–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Yastremska entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.