Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samson · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Laura Samson
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tatjana Maria
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,553 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,553 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Laura Samson
44% · 4–5 on hard
73% · 33–12 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~121 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~121 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tatjana Maria and Laura Samson are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Samson has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Samson leads 3–0 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.