Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samson · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Laura Samson
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tatjana Maria
17% · 2–10 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Laura Samson
44% · 4–5 on hard
73% · 33–12 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~239 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~239 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tatjana Maria and Laura Samson are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with a 5–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Samson has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Samson leads 3–0 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.