Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arango · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 1:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Emiliana Arango
Key insights
Player performance profile
Talia Gibson
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,104 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,104 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emiliana Arango
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,508 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,508 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Talia Gibson and Emiliana Arango are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gibson enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Arango has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Arango leads 1–0 over Gibson, including a win in their most recent meeting.