Diane Parry vs Sloane Stephens · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 3:40 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Sloane Stephens
Key insights
Player performance profile
Diane Parry
56% · 9–7 on hard
0% · 0–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,636 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,636 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.1 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,595 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,595 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Diane Parry and Sloane Stephens are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Parry enters with a 0–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Stephens has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Parry, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Stephens leads 2–0 over Parry, including a win in their most recent meeting.