Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Lucrezia Stefanini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 2:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Yuliia Starodubtseva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yuliia Starodubtseva
55% · 11–9 on hard
70% · 7–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,196 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,196 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lucrezia Stefanini
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,694 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,694 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yuliia Starodubtseva and Lucrezia Stefanini are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Starodubtseva enters with a 7–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Stefanini has posted a 0–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Starodubtseva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Starodubtseva leads 1–0 over Stefanini, including a win in their most recent meeting.