Nikola Bartunkova vs Katarzyna Kawa · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Nikola Bartunkova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nikola Bartunkova
67% · 12–6 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,555 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,555 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Katarzyna Kawa
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,250 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,250 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nikola Bartunkova and Katarzyna Kawa are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bartunkova enters with a 3–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kawa has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kawa, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Bartunkova leads 1–0 over Kawa, including a win in their most recent meeting.