Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinski · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 2:35 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Henrique Rocha
Key insights
Player performance profile
Henrique Rocha
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,480 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,480 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 65% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan Choinski
38% · 6–10 on hard
67% · 31–15 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,628 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,628 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Henrique Rocha and Jan Choinski are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Rocha enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Choinski has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Choinski entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rocha leads 2–1 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.