Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinski · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 2:35 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Henrique Rocha
Key insights
Player performance profile
Henrique Rocha
20% · 1–4 on hard
70% · 16–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,845 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,845 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jan Choinski
45% · 5–6 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Henrique Rocha and Jan Choinski are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Rocha enters with a 16–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Choinski has posted a 4–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Choinski, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rocha leads 2–1 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.