Elmer Moller vs Hugo Gaston · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 9:50 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Elmer Moller
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elmer Moller
25% · 1–3 on hard
43% · 6–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,487 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,487 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Gaston
56% · 9–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elmer Moller and Hugo Gaston are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Moller enters with a 6–8 record on clay courts in 2026, while Gaston has posted a 3–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Moller entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Moller leads 1–0 over Gaston, including a win in their most recent meeting.