Arthur Gea vs Vilius Gaubas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 8:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Vilius Gaubas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arthur Gea
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,529 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,529 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Vilius Gaubas
63% · 5–3 on hard
50% · 10–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arthur Gea and Vilius Gaubas are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gea enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Gaubas has posted a 10–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gaubas, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gaubas leads 2–0 over Gea, including a win in their most recent meeting.