Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Gwangju • Hard • Apr 21, 2026 • 6:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Mikhail Kukushkin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pavel Kotov
39% · 9–14 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mikhail Kukushkin
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,569 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,569 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pavel Kotov and Mikhail Kukushkin are set to meet at the Gwangju on April 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kotov enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Kukushkin has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kotov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kukushkin leads 2–0 over Kotov, including a win in their most recent meeting.